Goliath Super Intelligence
IndustryNovember 5, 20262 min read

Qualcomm Targets AI Data-Center Market as Smartphone Sales Decline

The chipmaker forecasts $650 million in data-center revenue for early 2027, expects $5 billion by year-end, and aims for the segment to represent roughly 30 percent of its business.

Qualcomm is redirecting its growth strategy toward AI-focused data-center chips after reporting a roughly 20 percent drop in smartphone sales compared with the previous year. The decline, highlighted during the company’s fourth-quarter 2026 earnings discussion, prompted executives to emphasize diversification beyond mobile handsets. By leveraging its semiconductor expertise, Qualcomm hopes to capture a larger slice of the expanding artificial-intelligence infrastructure market.

During the Q4 2026 earnings call, Qualcomm outlined a multi-year roadmap for its data-center business. The firm projected $650 million in revenue from data-center chips for the first quarter of 2027, with expectations rising to $5 billion by the close of 2027 and $15 billion by 2029. These targets represent a substantial increase over the company’s current earnings profile and signal a strategic pivot toward high-performance computing workloads.

Qualcomm indicated that data-center products could eventually represent about 30 percent of its total business. This ambition, while sizable, falls short of rival AMD’s claim that more than 80 percent of its future revenue will derive from data-center solutions. The contrast underscores differing degrees of reliance on the AI infrastructure market among leading chipmakers, with Qualcomm positioning its data-center segment as a significant, yet not dominant, revenue driver.

The company’s data-center push is supported by alliances with major cloud providers. Earlier in the year, Qualcomm announced partnerships with Amazon and Meta to integrate its AI-accelerated silicon into their server offerings. These collaborations are intended to validate Qualcomm’s technology in large-scale environments and to accelerate adoption across hyperscale data-center operators seeking energy-efficient performance.

Qualcomm reported total revenue of $10.4 billion for 2026, implying that the projected $5 billion data-center sales by year-end would account for nearly half of the company’s annual earnings. Even the more modest $650 million forecast for the first quarter of 2027 would represent a noticeable uplift relative to the prior year’s mobile-centric income. The anticipated shift suggests that data-center chips could become a core pillar of Qualcomm’s financial outlook.

Industry analysts view Qualcomm’s diversification as a response to broader market dynamics, where AI workloads are driving unprecedented demand for specialized processors. As smartphone demand wanes, chipmakers with strong mobile pedigrees are leveraging their design capabilities to serve the data-center segment. Qualcomm’s roadmap, combined with its cloud partner agreements, positions it to capture a portion of the multi-billion-dollar AI infrastructure spend that is reshaping the semiconductor landscape.

Sources

  1. Qualcomm is betting big on data centers as smartphone sales sink The Verge

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